Estimates Are Wrong by @ardalis ardalis.com
This is the third of the 5 Laws of Software Estimates. I expanded on the second law of software estimates in my previous article.
Nobody should be surprised when estimates are wrong, they should be surprised when they are right! If estimates were accurate, they'd be called exactimates.
Think about weather forecasting. Even with all of the software modeling and vast arrays of sensors we have in the 21st century, we still often fail to predict the local weather more than a couple of days out.
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